Trump vs Clinton: Massachusetts School Predicts 2016 Election Results

By on November 8, 2016

It’s been hard to talk about anything but the election today. This is particularly so at Barnstable High School – a 8-12 public school in Massachusetts – where voting to choose the Presidency was anything but kids play.

On Tuesday, November 8th, students from Steve Moynihan’s AP U.S. Government and Politics class took to the town’s 10 polling locations armed with iPads, to ask residents who they voted for, along with other socioeconomic-based questions. 53 percent of those polled were female compared to 47 percent who were male. Of them, 92 percent were classified as white and 62 percent fell within the 50 years and older age bracket.

The Final Polls From Super Tuesday. And The Presidency Goes To…

student polling


C L I N T O N   W I N S   T H E   P R E S I D E N C Y   B Y   48.58 percent 

(Trump gets 43.14 percent of the votes and 8.28 percent were undecided)

Here is the full list of survey results:

9th Congressional District

48.4% for Keating
46.54% for Alliegro

When did you decide which candidate you would vote for?

65.79% – Before September
10.99% – In September
8.86% – Just today
7.87% – In the last few days
6.49% – In October

What is the most important issue facing the country?

42.82% The Economy
22.85% Foreign Policy
20.35% Healthcare
13.98& Federal Budget Deficit

On the state of the economy

42.20% Stated its getting worse

Describing your vote for president today

50.56% Stated they strongly favored their candidate
30.59% Liked their candidate, but with reservations
18.85% Disliked the other candidates

On illegal immigrants working in the U.S.

76.03% Offered a chance to apply for legal status
23.97% Deported to the country they came from

Should taxes be raised to cut the budget deficit?

70.16% No
29.84% Yes

 Project Background

student pollingSteve Moynihan’s AP U.S. Government and Politics class at Barnstable High School.
Image © The Barnstable Patriot. Photo by Alan Belanich

Advanced placement U.S. Government and History teacher, Steven Moynihan first hit upon the idea of mock elections in 2012 when he read an article in the journal, PS: Political Science and Politics. The article described the necessary steps to conduct an exit poll. Not before long, Steven had rolled out the idea and by collecting 1035 responses, had successfully conducted the school’s first exit poll during a presidential election.

“The project helps students feel professional and like they are a part of the process. It’s a chance for them to see those numbers that we’ve looked at in textbooks and handouts. They’re making those numbers – it’s good experiential type learning.”  Teacher Steven Moynihan. 

Paper vs Digital: The Search For An Offline Polling App

Having witnessed the success of the 2012 polls, Steven decided to replicate the experience in 2016. However, this time he was sure he did not want to use paper again. The time it took to input the data, clean up the data, and then work with the data diluted the learning experience for the students. Also, they had to wait several days before arriving at the results. He knew there had to be a better solution out there, an offline polling app that could reliably work at locations that did not have an internet connection.

Once Steven discovered QuickTapSurvey, he immediately applied for a grant to cover the cost of the licensing through the Cape Cod Five MiniGrant program (CC5 is a local bank). He used QuickTapSurvey for the first time in March 2016 during the Massachusetts Primary. The stakes were high and he knew the risks – as cumbersome as paper polling was, he was confident that they wouldn’t lose any data!

The First Survey Results Are In!

Fast forward to noon that day, and the results were already in! Not only were they almost exactly the same as the actual vote percentages for the major candidates – voter turnout was high, completion rates were close to 100% and real-time polling made the project so much more exciting and rewarding for the students. As for Steven, he was just glad he did not have to count a thousand responses by hand again!

Students ❤️ It

student polling Steve Moynihan’s AP U.S. Government and Politics class at Barnstable High School.
Image © The Barnstable Patriot. Photo by Alan Belanich

Students who offered comments said the experience was an important one.

“Even though I can’t vote, I felt like I was involved in the political process. As an amateur pollster, it was good to know we could obtain accurate results.” BHS 2016 grad student Tyler Jones.

“I gained a better understanding of how the polling process works and it helped me realize what impacts people’s political views. It was an educational and entertaining field trip.” BHS 2016 grad student Sarah Murphy. 

Pre-Election Polls: Trump Takes Round One!

More recently, in November 2016, Steven’s high school government students were once again using QuickTapSurvey to conduct mock presidential elections at Barnstable High School (BHS) and the neighboring middle school, Barnstable Intermediate School (BIS).

Clinton narrowly misses out as Trump wins the pre-election polls!

school realtime polling

 

 

 

 

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Deepa Christina Radh

Deepa Christina Radh

Brand & Community Manager at QuickTapSurvey
Keeping it fresh and engaging with all things content and community. Let's chat! Find me on Twitter @quicktapsurvey or email deepa@quicktapsurvey dot com
Deepa Christina Radh
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